SYLLABUS
BUSA231
QUANTITATIVE METHODS II
FALL
2007
JENNINGS
B. MARSHALL, Ph. D., Phone: 726-2539
Fax:
726-2464
OFFICE
DBH 337
E-mail: jbmarsha@samford.edu
Office Hours:
8:15-10:00 a.m. MWF or by appointment
TEXT: Berenson, Levine, & Krehbiel Basic
Business Statistics, 10thEdition, Prentice Hall, 2006.
PREREQUISITE: MATH 150,
CATALOG DESCRIPTION:
BUSA
231: Exploration of applications to
managerial decision-making, claim validation, and research through scanning the
environment, collecting data, designing and conduction analyses, and presenting
and generalizing conclusions. Students engage in active learning to convert
data into information through the use of probability, descriptive and
inferential statistical procedures, simple modeling, and forecasting
Prerequisite(s):
Busa 130 and Busa 160. Credits: 3
TIME:
The class meets Tuesday and Thursday from 1:00 - 2:15
pm.
Statistics
has application to all areas of business, and is useful in many of your college
courses. I want you to be able to use
statistics for accurate analysis of data, to gain insights that are only truly
known from the correct application of appropriate statistical techniques, to be
able to use statistics to argue persuasively, and to never be fooled by
statistics that have been computed to mislead the naive and uninformed.
LEARNING OBJECTIVES:
General Competency: It is to be assumed throughout that all
statistical methods can and will be accomplished using a personal computer
(usually accessing Minitab software), with the rare exception of software
limitations. However, using the definitional formula and working problem
without the aid of a computer is the best method to truly understand how the
concept works. The personal computer
will also be used as a simulation tool to reinforce theoretical concepts
through empirical investigation.
1. Comprehend and differentiate statistical
theories and content
Descriptive statistics
Probability
Probability distributions, sampling,
sampling distributions
Association
Hypothesis testing
Estimation
2. Develop problem-solving skills
Recognize the problem
Describe its nature
Analyze data needs
Obtain and organize relevant data
Evaluate various analytical avenues and
select the most promising
Generate a solution
Logically present and defend the solution
3. Apply statistical analyses to functional
areas of business
4. Develop abilities to advocate and persuade
using statistical information
SKILLS/CONTENT
KNOWLEDGE EXPECTED OF EACH STUDENT
Be
aware of a wide range of applications of statistics and other quantitative
methods in business.
Define statistics.
Differentiate between descriptive and
inferential statistics.
Classify
variables by level of measurement and understand why doing so is important.
Recognize the difference between grouped
and ungrouped data.
Construct raw data and grouped data frequency distributions.
Construct
a histogram, a frequency polygon, a frequency curve, an ogive, a pie chart, a
dot plot, a box plot, and a stem-and-leaf plot.
Distinguish
between measures of location, measures of variability, and measures of shape.
Understand conceptually the meanings of
mean, median, mode, and range.
Compute
mean, median, mode, range, variance, standard deviation, and mean absolute deviation
on ungrouped data.
Differentiate between sample and population variance and sample and population
standard deviation.
Understand
the meaning of standard deviation as it is applied using the normal
distribution.
Understand conceptually skewness and
kurtosis.
Comprehend the different ways of assigning
probability.
Utilize the different types of
probability.
Select the appropriate law of probability
to use in solving problems.
Solve
problems using the laws of probability, including the additive law, the
multiplicative law, and the law of
conditional probability, particularly using
the relative frequency type probability.
Revise probabilities using Bayes' theorem.
Distinguish between qualitative, discrete
quantitative variables and continuous quantitative variables.
Identify
the type of statistical experiments that can be described by the binomial
distribution and know how to work such problems.
Appreciate the importance of the normal
distribution.
Recognize normal distribution problems and
know how to solve such problems.
Determine when to use sampling instead of
a census.
Distinguish between probability and
nonprobability sampling.
Distinguish between random and nonrandom
sampling.
Decide when and how to use various
sampling techniques.
Understand the impact of the Central Limit
Theorem on statistical analysis.
Use the sampling distribution of X-bar.
Know the difference between point and
interval estimation.
Estimate a population mean from a sample
mean.
Estimate a population proportion from a
sample proportion.
Estimate a population variance from a
sample variance.
Estimate
the minimum sample size necessary to achieve given statistical goals. Understand the logic of hypothesis testing
and know how to establish null and alternative hypotheses.
Understand Type I and Type II errors,
effect size, and statistical power.
Test hypotheses about a single population
mean and a single population proportion.
Compute a coefficient of correlation and
interpret it.
Derive a simple regression equation; be
able to interpret and apply it.
Learn how to revise probabilities with
sample information (simple Bayesian analysis).
COMPUTER
SKILLS
You
will be expected to learn to use the Minitab statistical software with minimal
guidance.
Assignment
|
Date |
Subject |
|
|
Tue Aug 27 |
Ch 1. Introduction |
|
|
Th Aug 30 |
Ch 2. Presenting Data and
Charts |
|
|
Tue Sep 4 |
Ch 2. Presenting Data and
Charts |
|
|
Th Sep 7 |
|
Highway Problem |
|
Tue Sep 11 |
Continue Descriptive
Statistics |
|
|
Th Sep 13 |
Continue Descriptive
Statistics |
|
|
Tue Sep 18 |
Continue Descriptive
Statistics |
|
|
Th Sep 20 |
|
Play Roulette |
|
Tue Sep 25 |
Continue Probability |
|
|
Th Sep 27 |
1st Exam |
|
|
Tue Oct 2 |
Continue Probaility |
|
|
Th Oct 4 |
|
|
|
Tue Oct 9 |
Continue Discrete
Probability |
Wheel of Fortune |
|
Th Oct 11 |
Continue Discrete
Probability |
|
|
Tue Oct 16 |
Fall Break |
|
|
Th Oct 18 |
Continuous Probability |
|
|
Tue Oct 23 |
Continuous Probability |
|
|
Th Oct 25 |
|
Survey Problem |
|
Tue Oct 30 |
Continue |
|
|
Th Nov 1 |
2nd Exam |
|
|
Tue Nov 6 |
Continue on Sampling |
|
|
Th Nov 8 |
|
|
|
Tue Nov 13 |
Continue on Sampling |
|
|
Th Nov 15 |
|
|
|
Tue Nov 20 |
Continue Interval
Estimation |
|
|
Th Nov 22 |
Ch 9. Hypothesis Testing |
|
|
Tue Nov 27 |
Continue Hypothesis
Testing |
|
|
Th Nov 29 |
3rd Exam |
|
|
Tue Dec 4 |
Continue Hypothesis
Testing |
|
|
Th Dec 6 |
Last class |
|
|
Tue Dec 11 |
FINAL EXAM |
|
Grading
|
Activity |
Value of Final Course Grade |
|
|
Highway Safety Problem |
5.00% |
|
|
1st Exam |
20.00% |
|
|
Probability Problem |
5.00% |
|
|
2nd Exam |
20.00% |
|
|
Survey Problem |
5.00% |
|
|
3rd Exam |
20.00% |
|
|
Final Exam |
25.00% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL |
100.00% |
|
|
Topical Coverage Grid |
|
|
|
|
|
Topical Coverage |
Covered |
|
Ethical
Issues |
Yes |
|
Global
Issues |
No |
|
Political |
No |
|
Social |
No |
|
Legal |
No |
|
Regulatory |
No |
|
Environmental |
No |
|
Technological Issues |
Yes |
|
Diversity |
No |
|
Written Communication |
Yes |
|
Oral Communication |
No |
Attendance Policy
You are expected to attend all classes, more than three absences are considered excessive unless the absences have been authorized by the Provost’s Office. Therefore, at the discretion of the instructor, a maximum of three percent per absence (above three) penalty (off of the final course grade) may be assessed.
Grading Scale
A 93+ D+ 67-69
A- 90-92 D 63-66
B+ 87-89 D- 60-62
B 83-86 F BELOW 60
B- 80-82
C+ 77-79
C 73-76
C- 70-72
There
will be NO make-up exams, except when an exam is missed due to an absence that
has been authorized by the Provost’s Office.
Failure to take an exam means a zero, if an emergency arises and I
authorized absences, the final will count for the missed exam. Group Projects are due on or before the due
date at the beginning of class. A grade of zero may be assigned if the work
is not turned in on time.
"
If You Need Help: If you find that you are having particular difficulty with any of the material in this course:
1. DO NOT let it build up. The material is very cumulative in nature and you are likely to find yourself only falling further behind.
2. DO come and see me, either during the assigned office hours or by making an appointment. Be forewarned: I expect that you have read the appropriate sections of the textbook and reviewed your notes BEFORE you come to my office.
Etiquette:
Success in business requires that you understand and
adhere to the corporate culture. This culture can vary from company to company
and even within a company. Certain
behavior can hinder one’s career
or even end it with a company. The
culture in this class requires that you remove your hat upon entering
class. Cell phones will be turned off
upon entering class. Taking a cell phone call during class is a serious
violation of the corporate culture of this class and will not be tolerated.
Multitasking reduces your ability to concentrate and
learn, it also disengages you from classroom discussions. In the classroom you
should focus your attention on the lecture and or discussion. Surfing the web,
reading and or writing emails are not appropriate. I have the ability to
monitor your computer and you need to remember that any thing that you have
on the screen of your computer is subject to display in the class. If you
are typing or receiving emails I have the ability to project them to the big
screen in the front of the classroom for all to read.
Academic
Integrity
We value a campus community that encourages personal growth and academic development in an atmosphere of positive Christian influence. We affirm the necessity of academic standards of conduct that allow student and faculty to live and study together. We value the fair and efficient administration of these standards of conduct.
-
No form of academic dishonesty
will be tolerated. This includes, but is
not limited to cheating on exams, misrepresentation, presenting as your own the
work of another, etc. Appropriate action
will be taken against anybody caught violating