SYLLABUS

BUSA231 QUANTITATIVE METHODS II

FALL 2007

JENNINGS B. MARSHALL, Ph. D., Phone:  726-2539

Fax: 726-2464

OFFICE DBH 337

E-mail:  jbmarsha@samford.edu

Office Hours

Office Hours: 8:15-10:00 a.m. MWF or by appointment

 

TEXT:  Berenson, Levine, & Krehbiel Basic Business Statistics, 10thEdition,  Prentice Hall, 2006.

 

PREREQUISITE:  MATH 150,  

 

CATALOG DESCRIPTION:

 

BUSA 231:  Exploration of applications to managerial decision-making, claim validation, and research through scanning the environment, collecting data, designing and conduction analyses, and presenting and generalizing conclusions. Students engage in active learning to convert data into information through the use of probability, descriptive and inferential statistical procedures, simple modeling, and forecasting

Prerequisite(s): Busa 130 and Busa 160. Credits: 3

 

TIME:  The class meets Tuesday and Thursday from 1:00 - 2:15 pm.

 

PHILOSOPHY:

Statistics has application to all areas of business, and is useful in many of your college courses.  I want you to be able to use statistics for accurate analysis of data, to gain insights that are only truly known from the correct application of appropriate statistical techniques, to be able to use statistics to argue persuasively, and to never be fooled by statistics that have been computed to mislead the naive and uninformed.

 

LEARNING OBJECTIVES:

 

General Competency:  It is to be assumed throughout that all statistical methods can and will be accomplished using a personal computer (usually accessing Minitab software), with the rare exception of software limitations. However, using the definitional formula and working problem without the aid of a computer is the best method to truly understand how the concept works.  The personal computer will also be used as a simulation tool to reinforce theoretical concepts through empirical investigation.

 

1.    Comprehend and differentiate statistical theories and content

 

     Descriptive statistics

     Probability

     Probability distributions, sampling, sampling distributions

     Association

     Hypothesis testing

     Estimation

 

2.    Develop problem-solving skills

 

     Recognize the problem

     Describe its nature

     Analyze data needs

     Obtain and organize relevant data

     Evaluate various analytical avenues and select the most promising

     Generate a solution

     Logically present and defend the solution

 

3.    Apply statistical analyses to functional areas of business

 

4.    Develop abilities to advocate and persuade using statistical information

 

SKILLS/CONTENT KNOWLEDGE EXPECTED OF EACH STUDENT

 

Be aware of a wide range of applications of statistics and other quantitative methods in business.

     Define statistics.

     Differentiate between descriptive and inferential statistics.

Classify variables by level of measurement and understand why doing so is important.

     Recognize the difference between grouped and ungrouped data.

     Construct raw data and grouped data  frequency distributions.

Construct a histogram, a frequency polygon, a frequency curve, an ogive, a pie chart, a dot plot, a box plot, and a stem-and-leaf plot.

Distinguish between measures of location, measures of variability, and measures of shape.

     Understand conceptually the meanings of mean, median, mode, and range.

Compute mean, median, mode, range, variance, standard deviation, and mean absolute deviation on ungrouped data.

     Differentiate between sample and population variance and sample and population standard deviation.

Understand the meaning of standard deviation as it is applied using the normal distribution.

     Understand conceptually skewness and kurtosis.

     Comprehend the different ways of assigning probability.

     Utilize the different types of probability.

     Select the appropriate law of probability to use in solving problems.

Solve problems using the laws of probability, including the additive law, the multiplicative law, and      the law of conditional probability, particularly using

     the relative frequency type probability.

     Revise probabilities using Bayes' theorem.

 Distinguish between qualitative, discrete quantitative variables and continuous quantitative variables.

Identify the type of statistical experiments that can be described by the binomial distribution and know how to work such problems.

     Appreciate the importance of the normal distribution.

     Recognize normal distribution problems and know how to solve such problems.

     Determine when to use sampling instead of a census.

     Distinguish between probability and nonprobability sampling.

     Distinguish between random and nonrandom sampling.

     Decide when and how to use various sampling techniques.

     Understand the impact of the Central Limit Theorem on statistical analysis.

     Use the sampling distribution of X-bar.

     Know the difference between point and interval estimation.

     Estimate a population mean from a sample mean.

     Estimate a population proportion from a sample proportion.

     Estimate a population variance from a sample variance.

Estimate the minimum sample size necessary to achieve given statistical goals.   Understand the logic of hypothesis testing and know how to establish null and alternative hypotheses.

     Understand Type I and Type II errors, effect size, and statistical power.

     Test hypotheses about a single population mean and a single population proportion.

     Compute a coefficient of correlation and interpret it.

     Derive a simple regression equation; be able to interpret and apply it.

     Learn how to revise probabilities with sample information (simple Bayesian analysis).

 

COMPUTER SKILLS

 

You will be expected to learn to use the Minitab statistical software with minimal guidance.


Assignment

 

Date

Subject

 

Tue Aug 27

Ch 1. Introduction

 

Th Aug 30

Ch 2. Presenting Data and Charts

 

Tue Sep 4

Ch 2. Presenting Data and Charts

 

Th  Sep 7

Ch. 3 Descriptive Statistics

Highway Problem

Tue Sep 11

Continue Descriptive Statistics

 

Th Sep 13

Continue Descriptive Statistics

 

Tue Sep 18

Continue Descriptive Statistics

 

Th Sep 20

Ch. 4 Probability

Play Roulette

Tue Sep 25

Continue Probability

 

Th Sep 27

1st Exam

 

Tue Oct 2

Continue Probaility

 

Th Oct 4

Ch. 5 Discrete Probability

 

Tue Oct 9

Continue Discrete Probability

Wheel of Fortune

Th Oct 11

Continue Discrete Probability

 

Tue Oct 16

Fall Break

 

Th Oct 18

Continuous Probability

 

Tue Oct 23

Continuous Probability

 

Th Oct 25

Ch. 6 Normal Curve

Survey Problem

Tue Oct 30

Continue Normal Curve

 

Th Nov 1

2nd Exam

 

Tue Nov 6

Continue on Sampling

 

Th Nov 8

Ch. 7 Sampling Distributions

 

Tue Nov 13

Continue on Sampling

 

Th Nov 15

Ch. 8 Interval Estimation

 

Tue Nov 20

Continue Interval Estimation

 

Th Nov 22

Ch 9. Hypothesis Testing

 

Tue Nov 27

Continue Hypothesis Testing

 

Th Nov 29

3rd Exam

 

Tue Dec 4

Continue Hypothesis Testing

 

Th Dec 6

Last class

 

Tue Dec 11

FINAL EXAM

 

 


 

Grading

 

Activity

Value of Final Course Grade

 

Highway Safety Problem

5.00%

 

1st Exam

20.00%

 

Probability Problem

5.00%

 

2nd Exam

20.00%

 

Survey Problem

5.00%

 

3rd Exam

20.00%

 

Final Exam

25.00%

 

 

 

 

TOTAL

100.00%

 

 

 

Topical Coverage Grid

 

Topical Coverage

Covered

Ethical Issues

Yes

Global Issues

No

Political

No

Social

No

Legal

No

Regulatory

No

Environmental

No

Technological Issues

Yes

Diversity

No

Written Communication

Yes

Oral Communication

No

 

 

 

Attendance Policy

You are expected to attend all classes, more than three absences are considered excessive unless the absences have been authorized by the Provost’s Office.  Therefore, at the discretion of the instructor, a maximum of three percent per absence (above three) penalty (off of the final course grade) may be assessed.  


 

Grading Scale

A         93+                  D+       67-69              

A-        90-92               D         63-66              

B+       87-89               D-        60-62              

B          83-86               F          BELOW 60    

B-        80-82              

C+       77-79              

C         73-76

C-        70-72              

 

There will be NO make-up exams, except when an exam is missed due to an absence that has been authorized by the Provost’s Office.  Failure to take an exam means a zero, if an emergency arises and I authorized absences, the final will count for the missed exam.  Group Projects are due on or before the due date at the beginning of class.   A grade of zero may be assigned if the work is not turned in on time. 

 
Americans with Disabilities Act

 

"Samford University complies with Section 504 of the Rehabilitation Act and the Americans with Disabilities Act. Students with disabilities who seek accommodations must make their request through Disability Support Services.  This office is located in Counseling Services on the lower level of Pittman Hall, or can be reached by calling 726-4078 or 726-2105.  A faculty member will grant reasonable accommodations only upon notification from the Disability Support Services."

 

If You Need Help: If you find that you are having particular difficulty with any of the material in this course:

1.                  DO NOT let it build up.  The material is very cumulative in nature and you are likely to find yourself only falling further behind.

2.                  DO come and see me, either during the assigned office hours or by making an appointment.  Be forewarned: I expect that you have read the appropriate sections of the textbook and reviewed your notes BEFORE you come to my office.

 

Etiquette:

Success in business requires that you understand and adhere to the corporate culture. This culture can vary from company to company and even within a company. Certain  behavior  can hinder one’s career or even end it with a  company. The culture in this class requires that you remove your hat upon entering class.  Cell phones will be turned off upon entering class. Taking a cell phone call during class is a serious violation of the corporate culture of this class and will not be tolerated.

 

Multitasking reduces your ability to concentrate and learn, it also disengages you from classroom discussions. In the classroom you should focus your attention on the lecture and or discussion. Surfing the web, reading and or writing emails are not appropriate. I have the ability to monitor your computer and you need to remember that any thing that you have on the screen of your computer is subject to display in the class. If you are typing or receiving emails I have the ability to project them to the big screen in the front of the classroom for all to read.

 

 

Academic Integrity

 

 

We value a campus community that encourages personal growth and academic development in an atmosphere of positive Christian influence.  We affirm the necessity of academic standards of conduct that allow student and faculty to live and study together.  We value the fair and efficient administration of these standards of conduct.

- Samford University Code of Values

 

No form of academic dishonesty will be tolerated.  This includes, but is not limited to cheating on exams, misrepresentation, presenting as your own the work of another, etc.  Appropriate action will be taken against anybody caught violating Samford University's Academic Integrity Policy as it appears on page 96 of the student handbook.  Please read and familiarize yourselves with this policy.